NIST Paper declares modern cryptography obsolete

In one broad stroke, a NIST IR draft released in February of 2016 has declared much of the current cryptographic system that underpins modern communication obsolete.

There appears to be a problem with the paper though, it has no real foundation for the claims that quantum computing will obsolete essentially all of the existing crypto schemes out there. Another issue with the claim is the idea that AES-256 will require higher key. Apparently the authors do no understand what AES-256 really is.

Here is a link to the draft, and you are welcome to review it and comment.

http://csrc.nist.gov/publications/drafts/nistir-8105/nistir_8105_draft.pdf


Cryptographic Algorithm
Type
Purpose
Impact from large-scale quantum computer
AES-256
page7image14264
Symmetric key
Encryption
Larger key sizes needed
SHA-256, SHA-3
page7image19504 page7image20304
Hash functions
Larger output needed
RSA
Public key
Signatures, key establishment
No longer secure
ECDSA, ECDH
(Elliptic Curve Cryptography)
page7image29120
Public key
page7image30408
Signatures, key exchange
No longer secure
DSA
(Finite Field Cryptography)
Public key
Signatures, key exchange
page7image37904
No longer secure

Table 1 - Impact of Quantum Computing on Common Cryptographic Algorithms